A reader, who happens to be a good friend of mine, took exception to the very idea that scientists may collude to promote the global warming fraud.
“When they are engaged in science they employ Scientific Method and don’t simply look for results which confirm their bias or provide ammunition for activism,” she writes.
That remark made me feel envious. There are still people out there who haven’t divested themselves of ideals, retaining a most touching faith in the goodness of man. And not just man in general, but specifically the group combining the intellectual integrity of Scientific Method (always with initial caps) with the moral rectitude of unbiased commitment to truth.
Alas, I have long since replaced my own erstwhile idealism with the dyed-in-the-wool cynicism of someone who has lived too long and seen too much. One thing I’ve seen too much of is blind faith in science and its practitioners.
My own, blasé, observation of scientists yields an image of a group as venal, craven and corrupt as most, and more so than some. This becomes especially noticeable when scientists are co-opted to promote scaremongering hysteria, otherwise known as good causes.
Every such good cause has a bad effect: increased state power, higher taxes and lamentable diminution of liberty. And it can be shown that the scientists involved suffer from an acute case of the 10-year itch:
In the 1960s, they claimed that all oil would be gone in 10 years. In the 1970s, that another Ice Age would arrive in 10 years. In the 1980s, that acid rain would destroy all crops in 10 years. In the 1990s, that the ozone layer would be gone in 10 years. In the 2000s, that the ice caps would melt in 10 years. Now they are claiming that, unless we ‘stop oil’ this instant, ‘our planet’ will fry in 10 years.
The demonstrable falsehood of all the previous claims has to create at least some incredulity about that last one and – much as it pains me to say so – about the integrity of the scientists touting it.
Not that we should lump all scientists together. Take any social or professional group, and some of its members will be better, cleverer and more moral than others. In fact, one of the dirty tricks employed by the activists in all the causes mentioned above is portraying all scientists as a uniform group.
Almost any phrase starting with “Scientists agree that…” will end up peddling a lie. Scientists don’t always – in fact, hardly ever – agree about anything. And many of them mock the current climate craze for the fraudulent politicking is.
For example, Dr John Clauser, one of the world’s leading authorities on quantum mechanics and winner of the 2022 Nobel Prize, called the “climate emergency” campaign “dangerous corruption of science that threatens the world’s economy and the well-being of billions of people”. Climate science, wrote Dr Clauser, has “metastasised into massive shock-journalistic pseudoscience”.
As far back as 2009, the Australian climatologist Ian Plimer published Heaven and Earth, a seminal scientific study that doesn’t so much argue as prove that the whole global warming fad is fraudulent. And in 2014 Prof. Plimer published another book, Not for Greens, adding more recent research findings that all prove the same thing.
Nor is this a case of isolated cranks. Anyone who proclaims that a broad scientific consensus on this issue exists is telling a lie. Thus, back in 2008, 31,072 [sic] American scientists signed a petition rejecting the existence of a global warming crisis.
“No such consensus or settled science exists,” said Arthur Robinson, founder and president of the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine. “As indicated by the petition text and signatory list, a very large number of American scientists reject” the hypothesis of anthropogenic global warming.
The petition should have made front-page news, but obviously didn’t. The bandwagon of ideological orthodoxy was gathering momentum, and no one could be allowed to stick crowbars into the spokes of its wheels.
It takes a combination of idealism and myopia not to notice that universities, those traditional depositories and smithies of scientific truth, have become not only as corrupt as many other modern institutions, but more so than most.
Most scientists would sell their next of kin for a grant, a tenure or a higher post. They’ll flock like lemmings to any source of such emoluments – and pounce like jackals on those fingered by the source.
It was in the proverbial groves that the fascistic trees of ‘cancel culture’ have grown to luxuriant maturity. Not only students but also their professors join forces to cancel the appearance of any guest speaker guilty of ever having expressed any other than woke, left-wing ideas (I could cite the examples of some of my friends, whose invitations to appear at the Oxford Union were withdrawn).
Any professor holding any other than received views sees a redundancy notice constantly looming on the horizon. And it’s next to impossible for a conservative academic to get a post at a major university. Ask yourself how many conservative sociologists you know and weep.
If you think this only affects the humanities, think again. The American theoretical physicist Lee Smolin has written the book The Trouble with Physics, in which he criticises the string theory.
His scientific arguments take me out of my depth. However, what rings the alarm bells at a high decibel level is Dr Smolin’s comment that no physics department anywhere in the US will hire any opponent of that theory, no matter how sound his arguments and how extensive his research.
Similarly, no anthropology department will hire a scientist pointing out the gaping holes in Darwin’s theory. Any biology department will refuse to employ – and may well fire if he is already employed – any scientist who insists that the biological differences between men and women can’t be corrected by scalpel and syringe. And so on, ad nauseum.
It’s not just that individual universities are corrupt. What John Henry Newman called The Idea of a University has been turned upside down and dumped headlong into the quagmire of modernity.
That point was confirmed – as if it required any more confirmation – this morning by a Sky interview with the Tory (!) Education Minister, whose name escapes me. He too had a complaint about our universities, but his was different from mine.
The problem with our institutions of higher learning, sighed the minister, is that too many students take useless courses, such as philosophy, history or medieval literature. That reminded me of an old joke the minister doubtless knows but kept to himself to preserve the solemnity of his message: “What do you say to a philosophy graduate? ‘I’ll have fries with that’.”
All students, insisted this Tory (!), should only take courses that can lead to “good job offers”. In other words, rather than trying to correct any deficit in their natural intelligence, students should devote their lives to the artificial kind, or anything else that pays.
The good minister must suffer from cognitive dissonance: he is confounding a university with a technical college or a trade school. A youngster would have no shortage of “good job offers” if he studied plumbing or hardware maintenance, respectable occupations both. But neither has much to do with the idea of a university.
Intellectual and moral corruption doesn’t bypass the academy on the way to government offices. As a minimum, we should be on our guard whenever a claim of a universal scientific consensus is made for any faddish cause. No disclaimers or qualifiers are necessary: all such claims are false.
That, however, in no way diminishes my admiration of my friend’s idealism. We need people like that, those looking for the saintly among the profane. There ought to be a counterweight to old cynics like me.
Blushes. It’s not so much idealism on my part but mathematical training. Mathematical Method (as distinct from Scientific Method) can only result in truth (or error, but someone will find it eventually). But now you mention it, I do remember being quite shocked by the laissez-faire attitude of some scientific disciplines to mathematical rigour. Still we can surely all agree that this matter requires discussion by the best minds, unhindered by censorship.
What makes you think that the best minds are less prone to lying than lesser minds? I think you’ve fallen into what might be called the Socratic Trap – the idea that there is a positive statistical correlation between intelligence and virtue. Only people who are both intelligent and virtuous are likely to fall into this trap! But cynics like Mr Boot and I are here to sadden you with the news that it takes only two or three people to falsify a meteorological observation and announce the highest temperature recorded in England for a milliard of years.
“The demonstrable falsehood of all the previous claims has to create at least some incredulity about that last one and – much as it pains me to say so – about the integrity of the scientists touting it”
This statement, Mr Boot, is not worthy of you. It is understood by the scientists, if not by you, that statements such as this are, like all science, subject to correction by as-yet unknowns, which when they become knowns, alter expectations. All of the points you object to are subject to this reservation: that they may be invalidated by future discoveries. This has nothing to do with the integrity of those who touted them, but much to do with the integrity of commentators who misuse the ideas.
The fight for funding drives much of the published results. My brother-in-law quit his job at NASA due to the yearly fight for the federal budget dollars. I imagine it is even worse on university campuses, where investigation and dissent are shouted down daily. So much for scientific rigor. And as for mathematical method, the California State Department of Education has declared mathematics racist. Let’s have no more of that, please. Good thing I earned my university degree in mathematics years ago, before this was discovered. But, then again, I am white.
Whilst I can readily believe that funding is not made available for scientific research that risks upsetting the prevailing narrative in matters such as climate, it doesn’t follow that the findings of research that is funded is false. Proper methodology ought to prevent that outcome whatever the political bias of the scientists involved.
Further, I’m sure you know even if the California Dept for Education doesn’t, it is impossible for mathematics to be racist, even if mathematicians and their departments are at least as susceptible to unconscious bias as anyone else, possibly more so as they never spend any time thinking about that sort of thing. It’s irrelevant though; maths is still true.
“it doesn’t follow that the findings of research that is funded is false.” Agreed. And although I do not want to start a fight, I can guarantee that there are scientific papers published that ignore or downplay results that do not fit a given narrative. If all scientists (and journalists) were 100% ethical and truthful, we wouldn’t even be having this discussion – and the original article wouldn’t have been written.
“maths is still true.” Again, I agree. However, the state has taken it upon herself to teach students that the idea of having a single correct answer to a mathematical problem is racist. Some will see through this idiocy but many will absorb it and take that attitude to the grave with them.
“Maths is still true.”
Is non-Euclidean geometry true? I’d say that it’s true in the sense that its theorems are consistent with its axioms, but there’s also a sense in which its axioms are obviously untrue.
But the pseudo-science of climate change isn’t mathematical enough to have theorems or axioms. It has a mass of observations (collected intensively in some parts of the world and hardly at all in other parts; collected over a very short period of time; and collected with every opportunity for fraud) which are evaluated by fanatical augurs and haruspices according to whether or not they fit the global warming doctrine. If they don’t fit, they’re explained away. If they do fit, the BBC has a new screaming headline with which to inspire the useful idiots of XR and JSO.
But mathematics, if not “true” for all possible values of the term “true”, is nevertheless a safe refuge from nonsense, and racist only in the sense that not all races may have the same aptitude for it. (We Europeans are certainly not the aptest.)
Your friend should have a chat with Dr Ridd who was sacked in 2018 for a breach of Townsville’s James Cook University’s code of conduct over comments he made about coral research. Part of the dispute was over his criticism linking climate change and polluted water to coral bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef. The professors extensive research produced results that went against the ‘woke’ narrative.
He also made comments to Sky News that organisations like the Australian Institute of Marine Studies could “no longer be trusted”. Dr Ridd said his sacking was illegal because it breached the employment agreement which he said protected academic freedom.